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analysing the % breakdown of votes
An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:
- 20,000 to 50,000 new citizens per year since 1995 X 20 years. 2015 = total 1 million foreign citizens electorate = 2.4 million (locals 1.4m, foreigners 1m); ratio approx 60-40 - results 2011 60% vs 2015 70%. swing = 10%. base on above ratio, locals contributed 6% swing, foreigners 4% - another way of breaking down the 10% by gerry mandering 2% foreign citizens 2% local swing 2% lky factor 2% sg50 2% please feel free to comment :D Click here to view the whole thread at www.sammyboy.com. |
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